Civil aviation safety is based on managing the safety of
knowledge of things that can affect the safety of flight. One of
these sets of knowledge is confidence that the facilities at the
destination will be good enough to give confidence of a safe
landing. Weather at the destination can affect the safety of a
landing. Detailed historical records are kept of weather
observations and weather forecasts. This study has analysed the
level of statistical confidence that has been achieved with
destination weather forecasts under various conditions. It has also
looked at other mechanisms that are or…