Investigation number
199700052
Occurrence date
Location
6 km SSE Sydney Airport
Report release date
Report status
Final
Investigation type
Occurrence Investigation
Investigation status
Completed
Occurrence category
Incident
Highest injury level
None

History of SODPROPS

The Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA) adapted a US Federal
Aviation Administration (FAA) air traffic control spacing and
sequencing standard (FAA 7110.65J) and incorporated it into the
CASA Manual of Operational Standards in November 1994. The FAA
standard was used by the Parallel Runway Standards Evaluation Group
to develop a procedure for Australian use. This group comprised
regulatory and air traffic services elements of the then Civil
Aviation Authority along with other members of the aviation
industry. The FAA standard was modified by adding a requirement
that the departure runway course must diverge 15 degrees away from
the approach course to the opposite direction runway.

The modified FAA standard was introduced into service at Sydney
airport together with other changes identified as being able to
meet government policies in relation to operations and noise
abatement procedures at that airport. Airservices, which was
responsible for Australian airspace management from 1 July 1995,
planned to commence SODPROPS on 19 October 1996. Officers from
Airservices organised an industry seminar for 26 September 1996 to
discuss the proposed new traffic management procedures associated
with SODPROPS and with the use of runway 34R for departures. At
this seminar several participants questioned the extent of risk
analysis that had been conducted to ensure that SODPROPS provided
adequate levels of safety during all operations.

On 10 October 1996, a senior officer from Airservices wrote to
CASA, seeking confirmation that the standard governing the use of
SODPROPS was available for use without impediments to its
application. In response to this query, a senior CASA officer
replied that there was no impediment to the use of the standard,
but reminded Airservices that "the safety and change management
standards for Airservices require you to analyse the risks
associated with the changes to ensure that unacceptable hazards are
eliminated before the change is completed".

During a meeting with CASA representatives on 15 October 1996,
senior Airservices officers advised that "it [Airservices] had
completed a formal change process, including safety analysis,
hazard analysis, training, etc. and that all risks had had
correction procedures put in place".

On 17 October 1996, an Airservices officer from Sydney wrote to
a domestic operator and supplied details of risk analysis conducted
for the implementation of SODPROPS. This letter advised that the
following three risk categories had been examined:

- "approach track keeping and associated flight crew or
ATC blunders";

- "departure procedure compliance, engine failure or other
aircraft malfunction on take-off, or flight crew/ATC blunders";
and

- "Air Traffic Management risk".

Departures from runway 34R and SODPROPS both commenced on 19
October 1996.

SODPROPS risk analysis

Section 6.3 of the Legislative Instrument Proposal (LIP) for the
Safety Regulation of Airservices Australia specifically detailed
the manner in which Airservices was required by CASA to control and
manage changes to systems, equipment or procedures to ensure that
unacceptable hazards were eliminated by the time the change was
completed. The BASI investigation found no evidence that the
requirements of this section had been complied with. One form of
risk analysis methodology mentioned in the LIP as being acceptable
was "assessment of overseas experience..". Claims by Airservices
that airspace managers at various overseas airports utilised
procedures similar to SODPROPS, were not substantiated. Although
the BASI team discovered several examples of international,
opposite-direction, parallel runway operations, these were not
regarded as sufficiently similar to the Sydney operation to be used
as justification in the risk analysis.

The risk analysis provided to the domestic operator, with a
matrix of data, suggested that a form of quantitative modelling had
been conducted using a narrow set of data. The assumptions for the
modelling were not analysed and the model itself was not validated
as required in the LIP.

The BASI investigators were supplied with the same matrix of
data when Airservices officers were asked to supply full details of
the risk analysis associated with the introduction of SODPROPS.

Additionally, there was no record available to the investigation
team to indicate that CASA or the Parallel Runway Standards
Evaluation Group had conducted any significant analysis of the
risks associated with the development and adoption of the SODPROPS
standard for Australian use.

Aircraft Details
Model
A320
Registration
VH-HYD
Serial number
025
Operation type
Air Transport High Capacity
Departure point
Sydney, NSW
Departure time
0630 hours ESuT
Destination
Melbourne, VIC
Damage
Nil